The Drought of 2017

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darrog
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The Drought of 2017

Post by darrog » Tue Jan 24, 2017 9:26 pm

Many people forget that the drought of 1976 actually began in 1975 and the same could be happening now following on from the dry autumn that we have just had.
I've not yet done the calculation but I would have no doubt that the Sept - Jan' period is running well below average at present.
So because I always like you to 'read it here first ', a little bit like this winter being one of the coldest in recent years, I'm predicting that the next 8 months will see the UK endure a prolonged drought like that of 1976.
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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by darrog » Wed Jan 25, 2017 5:26 pm

So I know the Sept to Dec' period of 2016 is just that, 2016 - but this is where the drought of 2017 will begin, just like that of 1976, in the year before.

So, Newton Rigg for that Sept-Dec period should have had 388.3 mm, but has only had 73.1% of that.
Now add in a dry January and that % will be much less - must be a drought.

You need to have a water butt connected to all of your down-pipes, plant cacti as nothing else will grow and start rain dance lessons and maybe we will have a chance.
Darren Rogers - he who submits the most interesting posts, AKA Mr Data
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rjd1000
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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by rjd1000 » Fri Jan 27, 2017 1:28 pm

74.5% the deficit in the same period here.

a hopeful prediction Darren but i reckon we are in for a very wet February and March.

you read it here first :D ;)

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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by rjd1000 » Tue Feb 07, 2017 3:37 pm

rjd1000 wrote: i reckon we are in for a very wet February and March.

you read it here first :D ;)
My worst prediction yet....

Drought looking back on the cards this month

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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by darrog » Sun Feb 19, 2017 9:43 pm

For the Oct to January period Seathwaite has only had 55% of its average fall.

Was on Gawborrow fell a week ago and the ground was dry and firm

With 9 days of the month left and just running at approx 40% of average, we are going to need some and more to get to average for February let alone up that 55% total which I think is fairly representative for Cumbri.
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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by rjd1000 » Sun Mar 19, 2017 9:00 pm

my prediction wasnt so bad after all

started late February but in the last 31 days i have had 190mm

so a very wet period - looks as though it will end towards the end of the month

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Re: The Drought of 2017

Post by wmb » Thu Mar 23, 2017 7:43 pm

Thirlmere apparently has been nicely topped up over last couple of weeks and is nearly full.

Taht's probably ruined our chances of getting a long warm and dry summer!

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